Model Projections of Marine Environmental Variables Report

Illustration of South West and plnning issues - Cover illustration provided by Dawn Ashby and Kelvin Boot (PML communications group).

Published as a submission to Marine Management Organisation’s (MMO) evidence requirement R009: Impacts of climate change at scales applicable to marine planning, the Model projections of marine environmental variables’ response to climate change within England’s South West Marine Plan Areas (MMO 1169) report was written by Dr Darren Clark and Dr Gennadi Lessin from Plymouth Marine Laboratory.

The report describes how selected physical, chemical and biological characteristics of the south west’s marine environment may change within the time frame of the South West Marine Plan, as indicated by the sophisticated modelling techniques applied by PML. Crucially, the report highlights where changes are projected to be significant, and how these changes may impact upon sectors and receptors (eg tourism, aquaculture, the incidence of potentially harmful (invasive) species).

The report is intended to be used to influence conservation strategies, planning and licencing activities and decision making, and will contribute more broadly to policy formation related to the South West’s marine environment and the economic prosperity of coastal communities.

The full Model projections of marine environmental variables’ response to climate change within England’s South West Marine Plan Areas (MMO 1169) report is availalbe from the MMO webpages.

There is also a summary available at: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/840781/1169-summary.pdf

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